Cesena 1-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.98
6+ Goals
10%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.86
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.33
X/2
8%
7.47
X/X
11%
3.7
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
13%
6.2
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +11%
1.11/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.07
+45% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.4 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTC
09.01.2021 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
23.10.2019 Cesena Cesena 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-0
AWAY Südtirol
0.63 xG 0.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
424 Passes 403
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena nicked a narrow win over Südtirol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cesena had 50% of the ball to Südtirol's 50%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.63 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cesena and 0.67 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Südtirol?

Cesena 1-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cesena 44%, draw 28%, Südtirol 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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