Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Nov 2024

Cosenza Calcio
1-1 HT 1-0
Salernitana
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cosenza Calcio vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.41
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
10%
4.89
X/2
10%
5.98
X/X
13%
4.01
2/1
11%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.54
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.21
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
24.1 Crosses 16.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Cosenza Calcio vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Salernitana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
341 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.03.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
29.11.2020 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
25.01.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 2-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
31.08.2019 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
05.05.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 1-2 HT 0-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
27.12.2018 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-1
AWAY Salernitana
0.68 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
260 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio and Salernitana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cosenza Calcio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 47% of the ball to Salernitana's 53%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.68 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 0.83 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Salernitana?

Cosenza Calcio 1-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 42%, draw 28%, Salernitana 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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