Cremonese 1-3 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.93
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
11%
4.45
X/2
9%
7.0
X/X
13%
3.98
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.57
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.39/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.7 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
02.12.2023 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
13.03.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
28.10.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
06.02.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 2-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
04.10.2020 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-3
AWAY Pisa
0.57 xG 2.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
425 Passes 235
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa beat Cremonese 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cremonese had 62% of the ball to Pisa's 38%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.57 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cremonese and 1.17 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Pisa?

Cremonese 1-3 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 42%, draw 28%, Pisa 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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