Canberra United (K) 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
27%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.4pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.2pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.09/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.89
+24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
12.6 Crosses 10.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.65 xG 2.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
285 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.03.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 4-1 HT 4-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
1-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.16 xG 0.73
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
242 Passes 355
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) and Central Coast Mariners (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 36% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 41% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.16 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra United (K) and 3.00 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Canberra United (K) 1-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 26%, draw 36%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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