Sydney 3-3 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.78
2-3 Goals
37%
2.17
4-5 Goals
31%
2.39
6+ Goals
16%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.33
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
8%
11.65
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
7%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
18.75
2/2
10%
5.41
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 15% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.69/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.81
-18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.5 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.07 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
356 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Sydney Sydney 4-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
19.10.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
13.04.2024 Sydney Sydney 2-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
02.03.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-4 HT 0-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
25.11.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.05.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
3-3
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.13 xG 2.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 6
423 Passes 208
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 23
32 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney and Western Sydney Wanderers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sydney had 64% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 36%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 2.13 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sydney and 1.17 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Sydney 3-3 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sydney 50%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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