Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 19 Oct 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2 HT 0-1
Sydney
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
8%
8.01
X/2
22%
4.64
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
18%
2.45
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.17/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.40
-23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
18.0 Crosses 18.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sydney
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
330 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Sydney Sydney 2-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
02.03.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-4 HT 0-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
25.11.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.05.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.03.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-4 HT 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
11.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Sydney
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
355 Passes 381
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Sydney's 50%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.50 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney?

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 28%, draw 24%, Sydney 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5
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