Saint-Etienne 0-2 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 25% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.49
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.47
X/2
11%
5.19
X/X
9%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
12%
3.18
2/X
10%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+11.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.54/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.32
+37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
16.5 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rennes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.57 xG 1.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 490
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Rennes Rennes 5-0 HT 2-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
30.04.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
05.12.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-5 HT 0-3 Rennes Rennes FR1
14.02.2021 Rennes Rennes 0-2 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
26.09.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-3 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
05.03.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
0-2
AWAY Rennes
0.47 xG 3.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
453 Passes 385
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 41
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes beat Saint-Etienne 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Etienne at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 53% of the ball to Rennes's 47%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.47 to 3.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Saint-Etienne and 2.67 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Rennes?

Saint-Etienne 0-2 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 43%, draw 25%, Rennes 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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