Nice 2-0 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Feb 2025

Nice
2-0 HT 1-0
Lens
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nice vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.31
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
11%
12.3
X/1
14%
5.47
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.19
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.57/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.51
+5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Nice vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lens
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.74 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
328 Passes 426
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Lens Lens 0-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
16.03.2024 Lens Lens 1-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
20.12.2023 Nice Nice 2-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
01.02.2023 Lens Lens 0-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
29.12.2022 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
10.04.2022 Lens Lens 3-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1

Nice 2-0 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
2-0
AWAY Lens
2.28 xG 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
551 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nice vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice got the better of Lens 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Nice found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nice had 61% of the ball to Lens's 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.28 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nice and 0.67 for Lens.

What was the final score of Nice vs Lens?

Nice 2-0 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nice 39%, draw 29%, Lens 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ BTTS Yes
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