Lens 0-0 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 28 Sep 2024

Lens
0-0 HT 0-0
Nice
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Lens vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.57
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
9%
7.91
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
6.34
2/X
11%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.39
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.1 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lens vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
434 Passes 366
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Lens Lens 1-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
20.12.2023 Nice Nice 2-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
01.02.2023 Lens Lens 0-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
29.12.2022 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
10.04.2022 Lens Lens 3-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
22.12.2021 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1

Lens 0-0 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
0-0
AWAY Nice
1.99 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
381 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lens vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens and Nice played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lens at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lens had 55% of the ball to Nice's 45%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.99 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lens and 1.33 for Nice.

What was the final score of Lens vs Nice?

Lens 0-0 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lens 42%, draw 29%, Nice 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lens) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024
20:00 Le Havre vs Lille Analysis →
22:00 Monaco vs Montpellier Analysis →