Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Feb 2025

Groningen
2-1 HT 2-0
NEC Nijmegen
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.22
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
19%
5.69
X/2
5%
5.4
X/X
19%
3.81
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.88
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
0.98/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.38
-52% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.2 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.02 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
313 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 6-0 HT 3-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
25.04.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
26.08.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
12.03.2022 Groningen Groningen 4-3 HT 2-3 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
19.01.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 1-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOK
31.10.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL

Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
2-1
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.18 xG 0.84
33% Ball Possession 67%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
201 Passes 468
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen edged past NEC Nijmegen 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Groningen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Groningen had 33% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 67%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.18 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Groningen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Groningen and 2.67 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Groningen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Groningen 36%, draw 33%, NEC Nijmegen 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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