Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Feb 2025

Heracles
4-2 HT 1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
10.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.07
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
16%
6.31
X/2
9%
5.53
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.32
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.14
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
22.5 Crosses 17.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
312 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
15.03.2024 Heracles Heracles 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
07.10.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
12.01.2023 Heracles Heracles 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
23.01.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
16.10.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-2 HT 1-1 Heracles Heracles HOL

Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
4-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
2.43 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
24 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
343 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles beat Go Ahead Eagles 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Heracles found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Heracles had 50% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 50%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.43 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heracles and 2.33 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Heracles 4-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Heracles 36%, draw 26%, Go Ahead Eagles 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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