AVS 1-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
7.03
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.45
X/1
10%
6.51
X/2
16%
4.45
X/X
20%
3.21
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.35
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.6pp
37%
Draw
32%
+5.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AVS EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.32/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.23
+24% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
11.4 Crosses 18.1
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AVS
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
280 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 1-1 AVS AVS POR
30.03.2024 AVS AVS 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.11.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 0-1 AVS AVS POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AVS
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara
0.85 xG 1.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
444 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AVS vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara squeezed past AVS 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (23% / 37% / 40%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AVS had 63% of the ball to Santa Clara's 37%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.85 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AVS and 2.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of AVS vs Santa Clara?

AVS 1-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AVS vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AVS 23%, draw 37%, Santa Clara 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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