Santa Clara 2-1 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.24
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.66
X/2
9%
10.05
X/X
17%
3.93
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
9.18
2/X
4%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +67% / +67%
1.97/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% / +62%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.3 Crosses 7.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AVS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.76 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
237 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 AVS AVS 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.11.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 0-1 AVS AVS POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
2-1
AWAY AVS
1.84 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
314 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara edged past AVS 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara had 51% of the ball to AVS's 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Clara had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santa Clara and 1.00 for AVS.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs AVS?

Santa Clara 2-1 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 45%, draw 29%, AVS 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
31 Aug 2024
20:00 Boavista vs Estoril Analysis →
20:00 Estrela vs Casa Pia Analysis →
22:30 Sporting CP vs Porto Analysis →