Sporting CP 2-0 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.91
Over 2.5
60%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
9%
7.9
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.84
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 13% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.59/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.27
+43% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.7 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-4 HT 3-1 Porto Porto PSK
26.05.2024 Porto Porto 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
28.04.2024 Porto Porto 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
18.12.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Porto Porto POR
12.02.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2 HT 0-0 Porto Porto POR
28.01.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0-2 HT 0-1 Porto Porto PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
2-0
AWAY Porto
2.94 xG 0.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
409 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 8
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP saw off Porto 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP had 54% of the ball to Porto's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.94 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting CP and 2.00 for Porto.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Porto?

Sporting CP 2-0 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 49%, draw 22%, Porto 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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