Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Moreirense — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Moreirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica
PRLK
1-1
HT 0-0
Moreirense
POR
1-2
HT 1-2
Benfica
POR
Benfica 3-2 Moreirense — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica edged past Moreirense 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Benfica had 54% of the ball to Moreirense's 46%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.63 to 1.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica and 0.67 for Moreirense.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Moreirense?
Benfica 3-2 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Moreirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Benfica 71%, draw 17%, Moreirense 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.