Mladost Lucani 4-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.27/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.02
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
22.2 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 2.35
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
238 Passes 481
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 40
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
17.05.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.03.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.09.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-1 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
18.03.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
16.09.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-5 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
4-1
AWAY Backa Topola
2.41 xG 1.15
27% Ball Possession 73%
8 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
135 Passes 521
64% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani cruised past Backa Topola 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 27% of the ball to Backa Topola's 73%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 2.41 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.17 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Backa Topola?

Mladost Lucani 4-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 28%, draw 23%, Backa Topola 50%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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