Erbaaspor 3-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.23
Over 2.5
41%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.67
No
65%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.0pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.4pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+18.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-18.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
33%
+1.8pp
65%
BTTS No
67%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 8%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.57
-57% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
525 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-1 HT 0-1 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor T2L-K
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor got the better of Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Erbaaspor 3-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 66%, draw 21%, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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