Somaspor 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.99/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.74
+83% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 HT 1-0 Somaspor Somaspor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
1-1
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Somaspor and Karacabey Belediye Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Somaspor had 52% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 48%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Somaspor 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Somaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 40%, draw 29%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Somaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Somaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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