Menemen FK 5-3 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
81%
-14.4pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.6pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 11%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.69/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.09
-28% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
522 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Menemen FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-4 HT 0-2 Menemen FK Menemen FK T2L-K
15.04.2023 Menemen FK Menemen FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor T2L-K
05.11.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 2-0 HT 0-0 Menemen FK Menemen FK T2L-K
POST-MATCH Menemen FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Menemen FK got the better of Nazilli Belediyespor 5-3. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Menemen FK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Menemen FK and 1.00 for Nazilli Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Menemen FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Menemen FK 5-3 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Menemen FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Menemen FK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Menemen FK 67%, draw 18%, Nazilli Belediyespor 15%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Menemen FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Menemen FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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