Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
Cerro Largo
URU
Cerro Largo 4-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo cruised past Progreso 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Largo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Largo had 56% of the ball to Progreso's 44%, shots finished 14-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.33 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Cerro Largo 4-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 43%, draw 29%, Progreso 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.