Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.09/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.23
-16% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
19.04.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
07.12.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
25.06.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
16.05.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
28.08.2022 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-1
AWAY Cerro
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro squeezed past Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 52% of the ball to Cerro's 48%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.83 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 43%, draw 33%, Cerro 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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