Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.07
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
22%
4.11
X/2
6%
10.8
X/X
6%
5.19
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
7%
9.03
2/X
10%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Athletic Bilbao win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
58%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.39
-21% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
25.1 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Levante
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.11 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Levante Levante 0-2 HT 0-2 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
07.03.2022 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-1 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS1
19.11.2021 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
04.03.2021 Levante Levante 1-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İSPK
26.02.2021 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
11.02.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
4-2
AWAY Levante
2.08 xG 0.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
437 Passes 314
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao got the better of Levante 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 55% of the ball to Levante's 45%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.08 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.67 for Levante.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Levante?

Athletic Bilbao 4-2 Levante in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 61%, draw 22%, Levante 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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