Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
60%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 23% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.67
1/2
8%
21.3
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
7%
10.1
X/2 EV+ ✓
28%
4.33
X/X
6%
5.89
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.1
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · X/2 at 4.33 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Real Madrid win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.9pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.9pp
60%
Away Win
56%
+4.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.30/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.19
+3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 84%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
20.6 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.07 xG 2.38
34% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
275 Passes 588
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-0 HT 3-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
05.04.2025 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-2 HT 0-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
03.01.2025 Valencia Valencia 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
02.03.2024 Valencia Valencia 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
11.11.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5-1 HT 2-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
21.05.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
0-2
AWAY Real Madrid
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
283 Passes 495
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid got the better of Valencia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia had 40% of the ball to Real Madrid's 60%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valencia and 2.33 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valencia 23%, draw 17%, Real Madrid 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
8 Feb 2026
16:00 Deportivo Alaves vs Getafe Analysis →
18:15 Athletic Bilbao vs Levante Analysis →
18:15 Sevilla vs Girona Analysis →
20:30 Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis Analysis →