Sevilla vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Girona
İS1
Sevilla 1-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla and Girona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sevilla had 51% of the ball to Girona's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.83 to 2.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sevilla and 2.00 for Girona.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Girona?
Sevilla 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 46%, draw 25%, Girona 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sevilla), Over 2.5 went the other way.