Girona vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Girona
İS1
2-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
Girona 1-2 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla squeezed past Girona 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Girona had 60% of the ball to Sevilla's 40%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.01 to 2.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sevilla's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Girona and 0.50 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Girona vs Sevilla?
Girona 1-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Girona 50%, draw 26%, Sevilla 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.