Real Betis 1-3 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.67
Over 2.5
55%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.17
6+ Goals
12%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.22
X/2
13%
8.28
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.0
2/2
5%
7.0
2/X
5%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.65/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.47
+17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.24 xG 0.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
438 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.02.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
06.01.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İSPK
08.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.01.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
18.10.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-3
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.52 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
332 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves saw off Real Betis 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Betis had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 50%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.52 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Betis and 0.33 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Deportivo Alaves?

Real Betis 1-3 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 51%, draw 25%, Deportivo Alaves 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Betis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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