Atletico Madrid 0-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 23% vs market 17.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.82
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.35
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.09
X/2
4%
12.4
X/X
8%
6.71
2/1
7%
20.55
2/2
9%
9.73
2/X
6%
18.45
Value flag · X/1 at 4.09 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Atletico Madrid win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.94/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.94
+15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.8 Crosses 13.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Betis
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.90 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
425 Passes 451
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 Real Betis Real Betis 0-5 HT 0-3 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İSPK
27.10.2025 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
18.05.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
27.10.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
03.03.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.08.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
0-1
AWAY Real Betis
0.67 xG 0.70
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
605 Passes 304
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Madrid at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 65% of the ball to Real Betis's 35%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.67 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.50 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis?

Atletico Madrid 0-1 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 64%, draw 18%, Real Betis 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5
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