Girona 0-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.13 — our 24% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.13
X/2
10%
6.15
X/X
17%
3.96
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
16%
4.55
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.28/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
-4% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.2 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sevilla
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 Passes 387
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
01.09.2024 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
21.01.2024 Girona Girona 5-1 HT 3-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
26.08.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
01.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 0-2 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
14.01.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
0-2
AWAY Sevilla
2.13 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
358 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
43 Box Touches 25
35 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Girona vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla got the better of Girona 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Sevilla made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Girona had 59% of the ball to Sevilla's 41%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Girona.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Girona vs Sevilla?

Girona 0-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Girona 39%, draw 29%, Sevilla 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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