Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Madrid
İS1
Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid edged past Mallorca 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Real Madrid had 58% of the ball to Mallorca's 42%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.82 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Madrid and 0.50 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Mallorca?
Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 79%, draw 13%, Mallorca 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.