Real Madrid 3-0 Mallorca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Super Cup, 9 Jan 2025

Real Madrid
3-0 HT 0-0
Mallorca
📅09/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Super Cup – 2024/2025

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.35
X/1
18%
3.57
X/2
9%
16.8
X/X
9%
7.31
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
9%
12.95
2/X
7%
20.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mallorca EU Bookmakers 15%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
475 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.3 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mallorca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.72
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
556 Passes 249
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
13.04.2024 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
03.01.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
05.02.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
11.09.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
14.03.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Real Madrid 3-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
3-0
AWAY Mallorca
3.07 xG 0.62
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
491 Passes 232
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
56 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Mallorca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid swept aside Mallorca 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid had 65% of the ball to Mallorca's 35%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.07 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Madrid and 0.50 for Mallorca.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Mallorca?

Real Madrid 3-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Super Cup on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Mallorca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 55%, draw 23%, Mallorca 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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