Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Madrid
İS1
4-1
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid edged past Mallorca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Madrid had 72% of the ball to Mallorca's 28%, shots finished 39-4, expected goals 2.63 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Madrid and 0.50 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Mallorca?
Real Madrid 2-1 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 56%, draw 24%, Mallorca 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.