Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
2-0
Deportivo Alaves
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves edged past Valencia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 42% of the ball to Valencia's 58%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.85.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.83 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia?
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 42%, draw 28%, Valencia 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.