Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
2-0
Deportivo Alaves
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
Valencia 2-2 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Valencia and Deportivo Alaves couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valencia had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 38%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.48 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia and 0.83 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves?
Valencia 2-2 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Valencia 37%, draw 32%, Deportivo Alaves 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.