Leganes vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS1
0-3
HT 0-2
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Leganes
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS1
2-1
HT 0-1
Leganes
İSPK
Leganes 2-5 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal swept aside Leganes 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leganes had 36% of the ball to Villarreal's 64%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 1.25 to 3.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leganes and 1.83 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Villarreal?
Leganes 2-5 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leganes 29%, draw 28%, Villarreal 43%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.