Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Dec 2024

Real Betis
1-1 HT 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.3
X/1
15%
3.9
X/2
10%
9.63
X/X
9%
4.75
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.89
2/X
9%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.84/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.36
-2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.5 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 290
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
02.09.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
15.05.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 2-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
08.01.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
03.03.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-1 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İSPK
09.02.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İSPK

Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
1-1
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
2.14 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Real Betis had 56% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 44%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.14 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Betis and 1.00 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Betis 1-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 50%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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