Las Palmas 1-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.67
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
11%
7.09
X/X
15%
3.98
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
8%
5.89
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.00/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.42
-6% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
13.6 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Espanyol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 2.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
385 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
22.07.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas HAZ
24.04.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 4-0 HT 3-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
03.01.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
28.04.2018 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
17.12.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-2 HT 0-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-0
AWAY Espanyol
0.94 xG 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
427 Passes 290
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas squeezed past Espanyol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 58% of the ball to Espanyol's 42%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.50 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Espanyol?

Las Palmas 1-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 45%, draw 29%, Espanyol 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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