Villarreal 3-0 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.81
+12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.5 Crosses 13.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Leganes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 1.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
431 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Leganes Leganes 2-5 HT 2-2 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
08.03.2020 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
14.09.2019 Leganes Leganes 0-3 HT 0-2 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
21.04.2019 Villarreal Villarreal 2-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
16.09.2018 Leganes Leganes 0-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
17.04.2018 Villarreal Villarreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
3-0
AWAY Leganes
1.62 xG 1.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
288 Passes 516
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
35 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal cruised past Leganes 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Villarreal had 38% of the ball to Leganes's 62%, shots finished 17-23, expected goals 1.62 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Villarreal and 1.00 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Leganes?

Villarreal 3-0 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 59%, draw 22%, Leganes 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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