FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 8 Feb 2026

FC Nordsjaelland
2-1 HT 0-0
SonderjyskE
📅08/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.9 — our 27% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
16%
4.84
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
9%
5.92
2/1
8%
20.65
2/2
11%
6.06
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
FC Nordsjaelland win — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Nordsjaelland v SonderjyskE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +25%
1.69/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
15.8 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY SonderjyskE
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.26 xG 1.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
543 Passes 315
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
23.02.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 2-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
06.10.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.05.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
15.04.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.03.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN

FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 SonderjyskE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2-1
AWAY SonderjyskE
1.47 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
507 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland nicked a narrow win over SonderjyskE 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 61% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 39%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.47 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.33 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE?

FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 54%, draw 22%, SonderjyskE 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5
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