PSG 5-0 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 8 Feb 2026

PSG
5 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Marsilya
📅08/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.46
Draw
17%
4.5
Away
16%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.53
Over Pick
69%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
14%
5.85
2-3
42%
2.07
4-5
32%
2.55
6+
12%
5.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.77
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.1
X/1
20%
4.28
X/2
6%
12.85
X/X
9%
7.71
2/1
4%
18.65
2/2
9%
9.25
2/X
4%
17.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSG The Market 68%
Signal
AWAY Marsilya The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.09
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
480 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Marsilya
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.07 xG 1.11
65% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
609 Passes 289
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2026 PSG PSG 2-2 HT 1-0 Marsilya Marsilya FRSK
22.09.2025 Marsilya Marsilya 1-0 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
16.03.2025 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 2-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
27.10.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 0-3 HT 0-3 PSG PSG FR1
31.03.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 0-2 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
24.09.2023 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 2-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
5 - 0
AWAY Marsilya
4.39 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
491 Passes 321
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
52 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW PSG vs Marsilya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG swept aside Marsilya 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in PSG's favour, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 4.39 to 0.62.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for PSG against 0.67 for Marsilya.

PSG vs Marsilya Result & Final Score

PSG 5 - 0 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Marsilya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split PSG 67%, draw 17%, Marsilya 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026
17:00 Nice vs Monaco Analysis →
19:15 Auxerre vs Paris FC Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
19:15 Angers vs Toulouse Analysis →