Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Racing Club Montevideo 2-4 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado beat Racing Club Montevideo 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Racing Club Montevideo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 51% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 49%, shots finished 16-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.67 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Racing Club Montevideo 2-4 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 45%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maldonado 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.