Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒21:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
67%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 15%
-15% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
2.00/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.04
-7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Bremer SV
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.09.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
26.04.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-2 HT 0-2 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel nicked a narrow win over Bremer SV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bremer SV led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.00 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Bremer SV?

Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 61%, draw 24%, Bremer SV 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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