Afan Lido 2-5 Cambrian & Clydach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambrian & Clydach EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.42/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.92
+30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Cambrian & Clydach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.08.2023 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 1-1 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
07.04.2023 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 3-1 HT 3-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
13.01.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
04.02.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Cambrian & Clydach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambrian & Clydach cruised past Afan Lido 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Afan Lido at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cambrian & Clydach led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Afan Lido and 1.50 for Cambrian & Clydach.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Afan Lido 2-5 Cambrian & Clydach in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 41%, draw 28%, Cambrian & Clydach 31%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afan Lido) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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