Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
12%
7.72
X/X
16%
4.81
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
13%
5.64
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.45
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.6 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fulham
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.61 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
517 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
02.03.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
29.10.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
18.02.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
30.08.2022 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.01.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1
AWAY Fulham
1.54 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
444 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion edged past Fulham 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Brighton & Hove Albion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 53% of the ball to Fulham's 47%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.54 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.67 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 40%, draw 29%, Fulham 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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