St. Gallen 3-1 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.53
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
11%
7.91
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
13%
5.77
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.62/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.71
-8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.7 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
291 Passes 251
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
11.08.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
16.03.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
28.10.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-1 HT 3-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
23.09.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
25.05.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
3-1
AWAY Grasshoppers
2.72 xG 1.05
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
478 Passes 145
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen beat Grasshoppers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 72% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 28%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.72 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Gallen and 1.00 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Grasshoppers?

St. Gallen 3-1 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 44%, draw 25%, Grasshoppers 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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