Yverdon 2-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
19%
4.87
X/2
11%
7.23
X/X
10%
4.81
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
13%
5.18
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 31%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.54/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.49
+85% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.6 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 3-0 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
04.08.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
03.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
28.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
02.09.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.04.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
2-1
AWAY Winterthur
1.50 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
420 Passes 239
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon nicked a narrow win over Winterthur 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yverdon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Yverdon had 61% of the ball to Winterthur's 39%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.50 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yverdon and 1.00 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Winterthur?

Yverdon 2-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 48%, draw 22%, Winterthur 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yverdon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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