Greuther Fürth 1-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.21
Over Pick
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.51
No
46%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.27
2-3
36%
1.86
4-5
27%
2.85
6+
14%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.17
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
11%
6.61
X/2
15%
5.47
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.11
2/X
10%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Greuther Fürth The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg The Market 45%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.56 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.52
1.50 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.40
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.1 Crosses 11.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Magdeburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-2 HT 2-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
10.05.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
09.12.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
18.03.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.09.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
27.04.2019 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
1-1
AWAY Magdeburg
1.49 xG 0.63
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
236 Passes 570
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 22
5 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Greuther Fürth and Magdeburg with a point apiece.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 32% of the ball to Magdeburg's 68%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.49 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.17 for Magdeburg.

Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg Result & Final Score

Greuther Fürth 1-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 33%, draw 24%, Magdeburg 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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