Hamburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hamburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hamburg 4-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg swept aside Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 63% to 37% in Hamburg's favour, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.99 to 1.75.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Hamburg against 0.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Hamburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Result & Final Score
Hamburg 4-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hamburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 43%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.