Hertha Berlin vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hertha Berlin v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals
Hertha Berlin vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hertha Berlin 1-2 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics
Schalke 04 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Hertha Berlin 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.
We leaned Hertha Berlin at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.86, about 54% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.57, roughly 64%.
On the day, Hertha Berlin had 53% of the ball to Schalke 04's 47%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.19 to 1.48 — by the quality of chances, Hertha Berlin deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hertha Berlin and 2.00 for Schalke 04.
Hertha Berlin vs Schalke 04 Result & Final Score
Hertha Berlin 1-2 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hertha Berlin vs Schalke 04 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 43%, draw 26%, Schalke 04 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.