Aubstadt 2-3 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.66/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.03
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Ansbach 09
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
31.08.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-1 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
04.05.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 4-1 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-3 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
02.08.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 nicked a narrow win over Aubstadt 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aubstadt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aubstadt had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Aubstadt and 1.80 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Ansbach 09?

Aubstadt 2-3 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 45%, draw 28%, Ansbach 09 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubstadt), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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