Banfield 1-2 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
6.08
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.3
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
12%
7.86
X/2
13%
4.18
X/X
14%
3.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.8
2/X
10%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.30/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.95
-17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
24.9 Crosses 21.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
214 Passes 393
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
10.02.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 4-2 HT 2-1 Banfield Banfield ARJ
16.09.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
03.07.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
26.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
02.04.2022 Banfield Banfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
1-2
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.78 xG 3.19
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
157 Passes 462
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors squeezed past Banfield 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banfield had 30% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 70%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.78 to 3.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Argentinos Juniors's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banfield and 1.50 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Banfield 1-2 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Banfield 26%, draw 30%, Argentinos Juniors 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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